Consumers, businesses and investors are increasingly jittery about the risks of a protracted slump. So what exactly is a recession?
The recent correction in the stock market has yet to trigger a clear recession warning for the US economy, based on a model ...
The U.S. president rattled markets last week by imposing a 25% tariff on all non-American cars. The tariff will take effect ...
Recessions are identified by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a non-profit, nonpartisan research group that dates U.S. business cycles. To determine if the economy has entered a ...
Typically, the Treasury yield curve, which is a depiction of various bond and bill maturity dates ... the U.S. economy. Although not every yield-curve inversion has been followed by a recession ...
Much of the uncertainty stems from Trump's shifting tariff policy -- effective dates have changed ... weak or negative GDP growth. The US was briefly in recession in early 2020 as the Covid ...
Growth fears are on the rise, causing markets to trade as if a recession is coming. Major US indexes extended deep year-to-date losses on Thursday, with the S&P 500 down 1.8%. Bond yields are ...
"Although the metrics the NBER tracks to determine recession start dates still looked reasonably benign in January, more recent data suggest that the U.S. economy is reaching stall speed," Peter ...
Washington, United States — President Donald Trump declined in an interview aired Sunday to rule out the possibility that the United States might enter a recession this year. “I hate to ...
Unemployment rates and payroll data can also be used to determine the start and end dates of a recession ... diffusion and duration. The last recession the U.S. experienced, according to the ...